MBS AFTERNOON: Potential Reprices For The Better

March 9, 2010 – 12:01 pm
Posted To: MBS CommentaryMBS Off To The Races with 4.5's up 8 ticks to 101-15! 10yr up 5 ticks on the day dropping yield to 3.70 (through post auction resistance) Reprices for the better = highly likely From the Ninja: Mortgages are still on hold as today’s 3yr note auction held few surprises-everyone loves the shorter end of the curve; don’t you? $40 billion notes maturing in 2013 is quite commonplace and the sheer size of the issue is no longer an emotional and or logistical challenge to anyone directly (or indirectly, on the bid) involved. No real change to the way we do and or perceive business here in MBS secondary trading land. The market is better into lower and or range-bound rates, like today, and not as excited should the treasury market break out to the upside to prices (and lower interest...(read more)Forward this article via email:  Send a ...

Risk Weighted Returns; Warehouse Lending Credit Manager Needed; Subprime Analysts Lost; Bank News

March 9, 2010 – 11:56 am
Posted To: The Garrett Watts ReportWe commented last week how a lot of people didn’t know what HSBC stood for... If you go back to when they bought a bank in Buffalo, New York to established themselves in the U.S. The joke was that HSBC stood for "Holy ____, Buffalo's Cold.” City National Bank (Los Angeles) was in the news for paying off all its TARP money last week, but the real story is how they became L.A.’s prestige bank in the first place. Frank Sinatra’s son was kidnapped on a Friday in 1963, and the singer called up Bank of America, Security Pacific and a few other big banks asking for $240,000 to pay the ransom money. The big banks told him to come in Monday morning and fill out a loan application. When he called City National, Chairman Bram Goldsmith told him “Come down to the...(read more)Forward this ...

MBS LUNCH: 3 Year Note Auction Results And Reaction

March 9, 2010 – 10:19 am
Posted To: MBS CommentaryImmediately following the 3yr Treasury Note auction, treasuries weakened while MBS held steady. Since then, MBS have lost a few ticks, but the 4.5 remains positive on the day, up 1 tick at 101-07. The 10yr note is also up a tick leaving the yield just under 3.72. The 10yr's post auction selling turned the corner very much in line with yesterday's high yields suggesting a shift of guidance to tomorrow's auction. . MBS is building a case for support just over 101-06, but as volume remains fairly light, again, the emphasis is even more squarely on tomorrow's auction than it already was. Until/Unless 101-06 breaks down in a significant way, the chances of reprices for the worse remain limited to "knee-jerk only," but we're not seeing justification for that. In 10yr...(read more)Forward this article via email:  Send a copy of this story to someone you know that ...

MBS MORNING: Fed President Reminds About Labor Market Weakness

March 9, 2010 – 8:23 am
Posted To: MBS CommentaryI am kinda bummed no one laughed at my Kathy Ireland reference in MBS OPEN . Her dress was so tight you could see her liver processing the booze (that's a rumor). I suppose I could have poked fun at Sarah Jessica Parker's "Queen of the Nile" get-up. Ugh. You guys are killing me. Is this one of those "you had to be there" jokes? I know I am setting myself up to be mocked because I watched the Oscars...but come on, there is humor in everything we do. (Like I said, I lost control of the remote. Other men: don't pretend you didn't watch. You know what I am talking about here!) Ok I am done pretending I am Perez Hilton. HAHA back to the markets. Chicago Fed President Charles Evans, a middle of the road on inflation non-FOMC voter, shared prepared remarks with...(read more)Forward this ...

Empty Econ Calendar Helps Mortgage Rates Hold Steady. Auctions Biggest Reprice Threat

March 9, 2010 – 8:05 am
Posted To: Mortgage Rate WatchAfter last week’s rates roller coaster ride that forced multiple reprices for the better and the worse, yesterday was quite boring. Mortgage rates held steady as prices of mortgage backed securities never moved too far in either direction. With very little price volatility, lenders left rate sheets unchanged on the day near the best rates of 2010. There are no major economic reports scheduled for release today. With no economic data hitting the news wires this morning, today’s trading action, like yesterday, has been slow. AQ recapped some events that happened overnight which have affected the flow of money in markets today. HERE it is if you are interested. The only event on the calendar with the ability to move mortgage rates is the first of three treasury auctions for the week...(read more)Forward this article via email:  Send a copy of this story to someone you know ...

Second Mortgages in the Spotlight; Reverse Repurchase Primer; My Opinion on Mortgage Rates After the Fed; Provident Cuts Interest Only

March 9, 2010 – 7:29 am
Posted To: Pipeline PressOften I start the commentary off saying something witty, but I couldn't think of anything clever so I thought I'd suggest you take a look at this video about, of all things, seat belts. It is making the rounds, and with good reason. The Federal Reserve has a little more than ten business days to complete their well-publicized purchase of agency mortgage-backed securities (MBS). Last week it bought $10 billion, breaking their 3-week streak of $11 billion. Only fixed-rate agency MBS securities guaranteed by Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac and Ginnie Mae are/were eligible assets for the program. Everyone knows that the end of the program is imminent. I am going to go out on a limb here, which is rare for me, and suggest that the consultants, market gurus, bloggers, paid services, etc., who firmly...(read more)Forward this article via email:  Send a copy of this story to someone ...

MBS OPEN: Flight to Quality in Light Trading Volume

March 9, 2010 – 5:46 am
Posted To: MBS CommentaryGood Morning. Happy Standardized Test Tuesday! My nephew has Maryland School Assessment tests today, we were pre-gaming this morning. I remember those days pretty well...mostly because they were so incredibly boring and slow. Also because the test's time slots subtracted from favored subjects such as recess and P.E. What I should really be saying is HAPPY FLIGHT TO QUALITY TUESDAY!!! While you were sleeping, a senior director at Fitch Ratings by the name of Paul Rawkins told folks at a conference in London that Portugal's "pedestrian approach is a concern for us". Notice I didn't mention anything about Greece??? Yeh. Thats because more than one EU country is facing some sort of ratings downgrade. Whether or not these concerns are truly legitimate or a target of trader...(read more)Forward this article via email:  Send a copy of this story to someone you know that may want to read it.

The Day Ahead: Stocks Dip on Sovereign Debt Fears Abroad. Treasuries Get Flight to Quality

March 9, 2010 – 5:08 am
Posted To: MND NewsWireEquity futures are firmly lower this morning following a mixed session yesterday. The Dow looks to open 31 points lower at 10,507 while futures on the S&P 500 are off 4.25 points to 1,132.75. “The mood in global markets is towards risk aversion with no apparent trigger,” said Benjamin Reitzes from BMO. MND's Adam Quinones says weakness in stocks and the flight to quality into Treasuries is a factor of overnight news from Fitch Ratings that warned against a downgrade of the credit ratings of the United Kingdom, France, and Spain. Confirming that risk isn’t on the table this morning, WTI crude oil is down $1.25 to $80.62 per barrel, and Spot Gold is trading $6.32 lower at $1,117.23. As one would expect, the US dollar is stronger against a broad array of currencies. The...(read more)Forward this article via email:  Send a copy of this story to someone ...

MBS CLOSE: Strong Vs. Treasuries, But Lackluster Day All Around

March 8, 2010 – 2:05 pm
Posted To: MBS CommentaryNo material change since 10:30AM MBS 4.5's unchanged on the day at 101-07 10yr note 4bps higher on the day to 3.72 Stocks were up, down, up, closed flat No data tomorrow either, then 3yr note auction at 1pm Fed Evans at 930am Big Picture: something's gotta change, or long, slow, grind continues. I wanted to show you the same chart from the Afternoon notes, now updated for the past few hours for the sake of comparison, but I had to send it off to whatever company that is that prints those little activities on my kid's dinner menu where he's supposed to find the differences between two pictures. They heard about those two MBS charts and were thrilled at the possibility of just putting out one puzzle this year that would keep everyone guessing as to whether or not there was even...(read more)Forward this article via ...

MBA: Servicing Specialists Should Not be Required to Obtain SAFE Act Licensing

March 8, 2010 – 12:35 pm
Posted To: MND NewsWireThe Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA), American Bankers Association (ABA), and the American Financial Services Association (AFSA) joined with 11 state and local mortgage lending groups on Friday to send a letter to the U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development expressing concerns about the way in which HUD is proposing to implement the 2008 SAFE Act. The SAFE Act (Secure and Fair Enforcement for Mortgage Licensing), was passed in July 2008 as part of the Housing and Economic Recovery Act. It directs states to adopt licensing and registration requirements for loan originators that meet minimum standards established by the act in lieu of HUD establishing nationwide standards. It also encourages the Conference of State Bank Supervisors (CSBS) and the American Association of Residential...(read more)Forward this article via email:  Send a copy of this story to someone you know that may want to read it.